Categories
FANTASY Uncategorized

54-51 Monday Night Madness – Sports Fanatics play Fantasy SF-48

Offensive Explosion

A decade of subtle changes have lead to this.  Touchbacks being brought out to the 25 yard line.  Adding rule after rule to effectively build an iron cage around quarterbacks.  Eliminating those bang-bang plays that saw safeties knock wide receivers right out of the game.  Every year the game gets a little easier for offences, and a little more difficult for defenses.  It was only a matter of time before we began to see teams make the adjustment to teams that are totally dedicated to offense.

Offense wins games, but Defense wins Championships

This was the old adage that defined NFL football.  Does it still hold true?  I’d have to say that I seriously doubt it.  We may have seen that last Defensive juggernaut to win a Superbowl with the Denver Broncos.  I expect the majority of Superbowls going forward to be offensive shootouts, or total blowouts.  My prediction goes way beyond the recent rule changes.  You have to also factor in the number of new super stadiums that have been built, or are in development.  Chances are you won’t see any more Superbowls in adverse weather conditions.  Which brings up another question.  What about all the NFL performance records?

Should new records count?

I don’t know how many times I’ve had this argument.  When people ask me who the greatest Quarterback of all time was I don’t choose Tom Brady.  They get this stunned look on their faces, and ask me why not.  There are three distinct reasons why I don’t believe that Tom Brady is the G.O.A.T.  Reason number 1: he doesn’t have the physical skills of some of the other greats.  This is the most minor of my three reasons but it does factor in.  Reason number 2: he has had the pleasure to play in not only the weakest conference, but the weakest division in that conference for a decade.  Now you might argue that this is by no means any fault of his.  Still having the luxury of knowing you will win your division every year with ease, and essentially beginning every season with 6 automatic wins helps inflate your numbers.  How many more Superbowls would some of the other great quarterbacks have if their division was a total joke?  Reason number 3: he has played in an era that has done everything save making quarterbacks completely untouchable.  This is the biggest reason of all in my opinion.  How many more years could Steve Young, Joe Montana, or John Elway have played if the league had decided to protect them as well?  In the new NFL Tom Brady is so well protected that he could play until he’s 50 if he so pleases.  Of course people will point to the rings, and his impressive numbers.  Well I’ve already covered the rings by explaining how easy his division has been, but what about the passing numbers?

The end of the workhorse Running Back

With all of the recent changes that have been made to protect Quarterbacks and Wide Receivers.  There hasn’t been any real changes to protect Running Backs.  In fact one of the most recent changes actually makes their job even harder potentially.  According to one of the new rules it is a penalty to lead with the helmet whether you are attempting to tackle the ball carrier or as the ball carrier himself.  So gone are the days where a Running Back would put his head down and plow through the line in order to get that much needed first down.  If this rule had been applied years ago.  Some of your favourite Running Backs would have had Ho-Hum careers.  Another reason workhorse backs are becoming a rare commodity is because they just aren’t needed.  Having a solid Running game was necessary before because it was one of the only ways to keep Safeties honest.  Throw the ball too often, and you were likely going to get one of your Wide Receivers killed.  Team owners new that every pass across the middle came with significant risk, so they generally invested in only one top level Wide Receiver, and a couple secondary options.  The money you saved went into a workhorse back.  Why do you think the Pittsburgh Steelers weren’t interested in making a long term deal with Le’Veon Bell?  The main reason is that this has become an increasingly pass friendly league.  As great as Le’Veon Bell is, the future of the Steelers is with Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster.

Which brings me back to Brady’s passing numbers.  Given the state of the league, those numbers are obviously inflated as a result.  If the other great Quarterbacks were playing now they’d statistically be throwing 15 to 20% more passes.  Average that across their careers, and the numbers become far more appealing.  Every passing or receiving record that falls now should have an asterisk beside it because of how difficult those records were to set originally.

Fantasy has Won

So why did the league end up this way?  Was it the pressure they felt after concealing the inherent dangers of playing football finally came out?  Was it the increasing popularity of Fantasy Football, and it’s newfound hold on sports betting?  Was it just the fan friendly appeal of higher scoring big play games?  Most likely it was the continuous decrease in market share to the NBA that made them react.  Why do you think endzone celebrations came back.

Categories
GOLF Uncategorized

My 2018 Golf Season – Beginner’s Guide to Golf

The Year that was…

For those of you that follow my blog.  First of all Thank you.  I know it’s been a bit since my last post, and I apologize for making you wait.  Things have been a bit hectic lately.  On top of all the usual things life burdens you with, there have been a few extra issues to deal with as well as a new edition to the Cobe Life family.  Before some of you get too excited, no we didn’t have a baby.  We did however bring a puppy home.  I don’t know how many of you have raised a puppy before but for those of you that haven’t it means getting up around four times a night to take him out to do his business.  Sleep has become a distant memory.  I look like an extra on the Walking Dead these days.

So it probably wouldn’t surprise you when I say that I haven’t done anything of particular note lately.  Instead I will take this opportunity to evaluate how my season went.  What goals I managed to achieve, and where I fell short.  Plus a few moments that really stood out to me.

Why goals are important in golf

Unlike many other sports, setting goals in golf is critical to improving your game.  Having said that I’m sure a number of you are already thinking that goals are important in all sports.  Of course they are.  It’s just that in golf there are so many different aspects to the game, that without setting specific goals you won’t actually know how you are improving.  If you still think what I’m saying is nonsense.  It might help you understand what my goals were.

Average less than 2 putts per hole.

GOAL ACHIEVED!  I finished the season with an average of 1.7 putts per hole.  This is actually better than I had hoped.  Essentially what this means is that I rarely 3 putt, and quite often I require only one putt to hole out.  What it doesn’t tell you is how long my average putt was.  This brings up an important aspect of understanding your progress in Golf.  Quite a number of your statistics can be affected by other aspects of your game.  Which brings me to my next goal.

Average less than 1 chip per hole.

GOAL FAILED!  I finished the season with an average of 1.3 chips per hole.  This tells me two things.  First of all I’m not hitting too many greens on approach shots so my accuracy is off with my Irons.  Secondly if I’m forced to chip that often, and I know that my chipping ability is quite good.  Then I’m probably leaving myself a lot of easy putts.  That’s partially why my putting numbers are so good.  Which leads me to my next goal.

33% or better Green in Regulation average.

GOAL FAILED!  Verifying what I safely assumed was the case.  I didn’t hit too many greens with my approach shots this season.  My average was a paltry 13.3%.  Obviously my accuracy with my Irons needs major improvement.  Of course that might not be the only concern.  It’s possible to be deadly accurate at the Golf Range, then trouble taking aim on the course.  Hitting your targets becomes a lot more difficult when you aren’t hitting off a perfect surface.  Which brings me to my next goal.

50% or better in Fairways Hit.

GOAL ACHIEVED!  Coming into this season my fairways hit percentage was around 50%.  I was hoping to maintain that average while choosing to play more aggressively off the tee.  I finished the season with a 65.5% average.  Far better than what I had hoped for, and proof that all the practice I put in with my Driver is working.  What this also tells me is that my accuracy with my Irons are an issue because the majority of my approach shots are from the Fairway.  Which brings me to my final goal.

Lower my handicap to 18 or better.

GOAL FAILED!  I was really hoping to finish the season as a bogey golfer but unfortunately that didn’t happen.  My current handicap is 21.9.  Close but no celebratory cigar.  My handicap did go down by 7 strokes so that should be seen as a success.  More importantly I have a good understanding of what I need to work on to lower my handicap next Season.  First and foremost is my Iron accuracy.  A few trips to the Simulator practicing in closest to the pin mode should help.  With that goal in mind I should probably work on my longer putts because I should hit more greens.  In order to make my approach shots easier I should probably work on my Driver distance as well.

Possible goals for next season

Less than 1.9 putts per hole

Less than 1 chip per hole

33% or better Greens in Regulation

66% Fairways Hit

16 or better handicap

Understanding where my game is at, and what specifically needs improvement makes those goals realistic.  Most other sports aren’t like that.  For the most part you just practice in order to get better.  You don’t necessarily isolate one particular part of your game that will end up improving your overall performance.

I’m already excited for next year, and hope you continue to enjoy the journey right along with me.

 

Categories
GOLF Uncategorized

GIGAGOLF TRX Powerslot Irons – Cobe Life Ongoing Review Final

It’s been a great Season

I will get to the GigaGolf TRX Powerslot Irons in a moment.  First a little bit of information about my Season.

I started this golf season with high expectations.  I was looking to reduce my handicap by 9 strokes, shoot a few sub 90 Rounds, and have confidence off the Tee.  Well I have reduced my handicap by 6 strokes, shot a few Rounds in the low 90s, and consider my Driver to be one of my best weapons.

Not everything I was hoping for, but there are some very good reasons for that.  I played so many new courses this Season that going low in a Round wasn’t easy.  The majority of these new courses were of much greater difficulty than I’m used to.  My swing had gone through another change early in the Season, and coupled with new clubs in the bag that took some getting used to as well.

Which brings me to the real topic of this Post.  How do I feel about the GigaGolf TRX Powerslot Irons after a full Season of use?

Absolutely great!

I’ve already gone over my initial impressions of the clubs, how they have affected my performance, and how durable they have been.  Well in this Ongoing Review final post I’m going to provide you with my personal opinion based entirely on my satisfaction.

These Irons have been great.  So great that I’m hesitant to replace them in the Off Season in order to do an Ongoing Review of another set of Irons next Season.  To be honest I’ll probably stick with the GigaGolf TRX Powerslot Irons for at least another Season.  They have had such a positive impact on my game that switching to something else would be absolute folly.  I’ve never attacked Greens with this much confidence before.  There’s enough spring off the bottom of the face that I’m unafraid of catching the ball thin with these Irons.  The fitting adjustments that were made through the GigaGolf E-Fit system has made the amount of strain I feel throughout a Round of Golf minimal.  Plus my quality of strike has greatly improved.  Those of you that follow my Blog, Cobe Life Golf on Facebook, or Cobe Life on YouTube know full well that I’m a high handicapper.  Not all of my swings are a thing of beauty.  Some of them are downright ugly.  Plus I do make the occasional hack through deep rough, or punch out of the woods.  The True Temper steel shafts that came standard with the GigaGolf TRX Powerslot Irons have put up with all of it.  I’m far from gentle with my Irons, and these Irons have handled everything I’ve put them through.  Something that has really surprised me is how well the grooves have held up.  Now keep in my that I clean my clubs after every Round of golf.  I some people are guilty of only cleaning their clubs during a Round but not after.  Still the grooves on my Irons feel as sharp as the day I received them.  No wonder I keep shredding balls during a Round.

Confidence is everything

Where these Irons have made the greatest improvement in my game is in the amount of confidence they have given me when it comes to hitting a particular target.  I first noticed it on the range.  Whenever I was at the Range practicing with friends we would take turns taking aim at targets.  In previous seasons I was extremely lucky if I happened to land a ball closer than my competitors.  This Season any target from about 90 yards to 150 yards was fair game for me.  To be honest I expected to land it closest.  Even against golfers with significantly lower handicaps than I.  Of course hitting off a mat can seriously help to equalize the playing field.  On the course the confidence these GigaGolf TRX Powerslot Irons give me has totally changed the way I play.  Being able to confidently land within 5 yards of your target from up to 160 yards away is a huge advantage on the course.  I used to lay up short of Greens, and rely on my Wedge game to help me save par because I didn’t trust where my 7 Iron might land.   When attacking Greens with bunker protection I would have to aim a good 10 yards away from the bunker in order to feel safe.  So depending on the size of the Green that meant I would have to aim off the Green at times.  This Season with the GigaGolf TRX Powerslot Irons I knew that as long as I took aim at the center of a Green I would be fine provided I didn’t miss hit it.

In the end that’s all we really want from our clubs right!  The confidence to know that when we strike the ball well; Our clubs are going to deliver the ball to where we expect it to go.  The GigaGolf TRX Powerslot Irons have done just that, and in my experience have done it better than most.

Categories
GOLF Uncategorized

UL International Crown Results

 Korean dominance

The UL International Crown has been played three times and the Republic of Korea has been represented in all three tournaments.  They’ve always entered the tournament as one of the favourites.  Finally this time on home soil they came out victorious.  They won the 2018 UL International Crown in dominant fashion.  A full four points clear of their closest competition the teams from England and the United States.  This really shouldn’t have come as a surprise to anyone that follows the LPGA because all four team members have been ranked in the Rolex World Rankings Top 10 this Season.  Truth be told the Republic of Korea could have fielded multiple teams if the tournament allowed it.  Despite their dominance on tour the casual LPGA fan might be unfamiliar with most of their players outside of their very best because until recently their haven’t been many events for them to showcase their skills.  That’s just one of the reasons I’m so pleased with the development of the UL International Crown.

Player development

The UL International Crown pits the top 4 players from the top 8 nations based on their combined Rolex World rankings.  In the three tournaments that have been held since it’s inception the nations that have competed haven’t changed much.  6 nations have been in every tournament.  They are the Republic of Korea, United States of America, Japan, Thailand, Australia, and Chinese Taipei.  Spain has only been in one tournament, but they took full advantage and won the inaugural event.  Sweden and England have both competed in two tournaments.  The only other nation that has competed is China.  This won’t always be the case.  I believe that the inaugural event win by Spain demonstrates how a slightly weaker team can win the UL International Crown.  The 10 points earned by Thailand in this year’s event further demonstrates how it only takes a couple of emerging players to really compete.  The motivation a tournament like this provides to younger players hoping to one day represent their country can only help increase interest in the LPGA.  Having a player the caliber of Brooke Henderson has me hoping to witness the emergence of another star Canadian player by 2020 so that our nation has a chance to compete.  Unlike the currently more popular Solheim Cup which is the LPGA version of the PGA Ryder Cup.  The UL International Crown is open to all nations, and in the case of the LPGA a better representation of the actual players on tour.

Looking forward

The Koreans have without a doubt established themselves as the team to beat.  Although they will have to keep developing new talent like Jin Young Ko to keep the other countries at bay.  The young team from England briefly gave the Koreans a scare this year before they faced each other in the third Round.  Similar to the youth movement in the PGA.  The LPGA developmental tours are doing an excellent job of getting the rookies prepared to win from day 1.  Current stars aren’t assured a spot on their nation’s team if they qualify either.  Unlike the other international tournaments in the PGA and LPGA, their aren’t any coaches selections in the UL International Crown.  The top 4 ranked players qualify, period.  So you won’t see a selection based purely on former greatness or out of pity like the Phil Mickelson pick at this year’s Ryder Cup.  You have to earn your spot, or some young upstart could slip in with a key win, and steal the spotlight.

 

Categories
GOLF Uncategorized

Thankfully it’s a Ryder Cup year!

Day 1 is already a success!

So Day 1 is in the books and already this tournament is a success.  Why would I say that?  If you can think back to last year, and remember how  competitive the President’s Cup was?  What I should be saying is how competitive the President’s Cup wasn’t.  Then you will understand why I’m thrilled that this is a Ryder Cup year.  Even though the Americans entered this tournament as heavy favourites.  They find themselves two games back after Day 1.  Now that doesn’t mean that they still aren’t favourites to win, cause I believe that they still are.  What it simply illustrates is that on their continent, the Europeans remain difficult to beat.  Unless you are a fan or both the PGA tour, and Euro tour you wouldn’t necessarily understand.  The courses each tour frequents are generally quite different from one another.  The largely American PGA tour favours Parkland, Stadium, and long hitter tracks.  Whereas the European tour favours Links, Precision Ball striking, and Weather condition tracks.  One of the primary reasons so many PGA tour, and specifically American Players rise to the top of the World rankings is because it’s easier to adapt their game to shorter precision courses, than it is for the Euro tour Players to suddenly start bombing it off the tee.  The President’s Cup doesn’t share the same course advantages for the International players because depending on where you are from the style of golf you’re accustomed to playing might be similar to your opponents or wildly different from your own teammates.  So whether the event is held in the United States or somewhere else.  The advantage will always remain with the higher ranked team.

I told you so

At the beginning of the year Oliver and I briefly discussed (on the Cobe Life YouTube channel) what we felt Team Europe’s chances were.  Keep in mind that this was just a few months removed from the President’s Cup drubbing.  The majority of Golf analysts thought that the same dominance was going to be on display at the Ryder Cup.  We didn’t think that would be the case.  The Americans rarely beat the Europeans on their turf.  Even though this might be the strongest American team ever assembled.  They still have to beat a very skilled team made up of mostly young Ryder Cup rookies looking to establish themselves on the world stage in front of their fans.  Although many of them aren’t familiar names on the PGA tour, they are superstars in Europe.  Tommy Fleetwood, Thorbjorn Olesen, and Alex Noren are sure to leave a lasting impression by the time it’s all done.

What to expect Days 2 & 3

Even though the Le Golf National course is set up to be as unfriendly to the Americans as possible.  The individual matches are sure to favour the Americans.  Which means the Europeans have to hope that Day 2 finishes a lot like Day 1.  The Americans are actually quite fortunate to be only down by 2 games.  If it wasn’t for an extremely lucky bounce for Tony Finau on the 16th, and some sloppy play by a couple of the European teams on the back nine they could have easily been up by another game.  In order for the Europeans to win I believe that they will need to be ahead by at least 3 points going into the final day.  If they enter Day 3 tied or trailing it’s as good as over.  It will be interesting to see how well they play tomorrow when they are no longer perceived as huge underdogs.  Should be another great day of golf.  Too bad I have to get up at 2:30am to watch it.

Categories
GOLF Uncategorized

SWING CADDIE SC200 REVIEW – Beginner’s Guide to Golf

Swing Caddie SC200

By now most golfers are familiar with Launch Monitors.  The majority of golf equipment stores have a high end simulator bay for customers to test clubs, or take swing lessons.  The Launch Monitors those simulator bays use cost somewhere in the neighborhood of $20,000.00

For most of us a simulator bay in the basement or den is far from realistic.  What if there was a product that could provide you with the same capabilities for a fraction of the cost, and is as portable as a cellular phone?  Every golfer would just have to have one right!  Well unfortunately there isn’t a product on the market that can do everything a high end launch monitor can.  The Swing Caddie SC200 is about as close as you can get, but is close good enough?

SC200 Capabilities

The Swing Caddie SC200 uses Doppler Radar to read your swing speed, ball speed, and approximate trajectory.  With these measurements it can provide you with your smash factor, and carry distance.  It also keeps track of the amount of time you were using it and the number of balls you’ve hit.  At first I wasn’t interested in how long I had used it or how many balls I had hit, but after a week of use those numbers began to take on an increased importance.  Is Smash factor important to me?  It never used to be.  Well that isn’t entirely true.  I’ve looked at what my smash factor was before when testing Drivers at Golf Town.  After my first week of using the Swing Caddie SC200 I now pay close attention to my smash factor when working on improving my club face contact point.  At first glance you might think that your Swing Speed, and Carry Distance are the only important measurements.  That’s what I thought, and it only took a week for me to realize that I was wrong.

A few additional things you should know about the Swing Caddie SC200 that add to it’s appeal are the Voice capability, Remote Control, and battery life.  The Swing Caddie SC200 has a very good screen that I found easy to read in most lighting conditions.  There are times that reading the screen could be difficult.  Thankfully the Swing Caddie SC200 has an audible announcement after each swing that informs you of the distance hit.  You will still have to look at the screen if you are interested in knowing your Swing Speed or Smash Factor.  I found the distance announcement quite useful.  It takes a moment before it informs you so you have just long enough to make your own guess before the SC200 provides you with the answer.  This feature has helped me identify what perfect contact actually feels like and sounds like.  In some cases I’ve learned that louder isn’t necessarily better.  The included Remote is such a welcome addition.  It’s about as simple as can be.  There’s a button for each club, and it’s a breeze to switch between modes.  I like to switch from club to club when practicing at the Range.  Quite often I’ll play a mock Par 4.  I imagine a 350 yard Par 4 then tee off.  I then estimate the distance left, and choose the appropriate club.  The Swing Caddie SC200 removes the guess work, and is a snap to switch between clubs with the included remote.  The SC200 is powered by four AAA batteries.  For me that’s far better than an included rechargeable battery.  I have devices that require constant charging.  I’m thankful to not have another one.  According to the manual you should expect around 20 hours of use.  If your average Range session is around an hour that’s 20 times out!  More than enough in my opinion.

First Impressions

By the time you read this the Swing Caddie SC200 has been out for over a year.  Chances are you’ve already read other reviews, or seen unboxing videos of the product.  What you probably haven’t come across till now is a Golf Beginner’s opinion of the Swing Caddie SC200.  Unlike the majority of reviewers out there I’m not a professional golfer.  I’m not affiliated with a recognized Golf publication, or Association.  The Swing Caddie wasn’t supplied to me by the company for review purposes. I actually had to buy it!  So I guess the real question is; for a beginner golfer like me, is the Swing Caddie SC200 actually worth it?

For me that’s a resounding YES!  I’ve read some mixed reviews about the Swing Caddie SC200, from essential practice tool to novelty Range tech.  The reviews were so mixed that it took quite the sale price for me to even consider the purchase.  Having spent a considerable amount of time with the product the wide spectrum of conclusions I’ve come across make total sense.  The Swing Caddie SC200’s usefulness is directly related to the user’s golfing ability.  For a high handicapper like me, the Swing Caddie SC200 has already improved my game after one week of use.  Now if I was somebody with a single digit handicap the Swing Caddie SC200 would only confirm what I already know.  In fact it might even read some of my more intricate shots incorrectly because it’s configured for swings made with the club face in a neutral position.  This is definitely not a product for a wedge wizard like Phil Mickelson.  In fact the most lofted Wedge a Swing Caddie SC200 can read is a 59 degree.  My Lob Wedge is 60 degrees so when I use it with the SC200 I have to accept a little bit of distance discrepancy, and the occasional missed swing.  I mentioned earlier that the shot count feature became more important to me.  What I realized is that it takes about 15 swings for me to loosen up.  I also found out that I start to be affected by fatigue at around 85 swings.  The difference between my optimum swings made while warmed up or fatigued is 10 to 15 yards depending on the club.  This means that depending on how my Round of Golf is going I should be using a stronger club than I would expect towards the end of a Round.  I’ve also learned that I should use a stronger club for the first 3 or 4 holes in a Round if I’m unable to warm up first.  I also know that I only need 15 to 20 balls to hit before stepping up to the first tee.  I’m sure veteran golfers have figured these things out over time.  Well I’m in my third Season and I hadn’t figured it out until I practiced with the Swing Caddie SC200.  Do you know your approximate distance with each club?  You probably think you do.  I know that I did.  Well I was wrong about half the clubs in my bag.  Not way wrong mind you, but wrong enough that my low Green in Regulation percentage makes total sense now.  I’m certain that by the time the first set of batteries are dead in my Swing Caddie SC200;  I’ll have such a good understanding of my game that hoping to break 100 will become a thing of the past.  I should expect to break 100 every time out.  Now will continued use help me to consistently break 90?  Only time will tell.  When that time comes I’ll definitely let you know.

Categories
FANTASY Uncategorized

Play the Percentages or Trust your Gut – Sports Fanatics Play Fantasy SF-47

Draft Capital

Every Fantasy Sports website, or Fantasy Football analyst prepares for each Season by making a list.  Some like myself make many lists, but they all have the same purpose.  The goal is to arrange each and every fantasy relevant Player from the most valuable to the least.  Then we presume to decipher where the optimum position to draft them is.  Now maybe you choose to rely on our analysis or you don’t.  Most likely you take what the most popular websites decide, and then make slight adjustments due to personal bias.  However you choose to make your draft board.  Each Player you end up selecting has a perceived value attached to the Round you selected them in.  So what happens when you are setting your line up for the week, and the Running Back you selected in the first Round is facing the Top Run Defense in the league?

That Gut Feeling

How often should we trust our Gut when it comes to Fantasy Football?  To arrive at a suitable answer I’ll use both a top level Running Back from last season, and a top level Wide Receiver.

Todd Gurley – Last Season Todd Gurley finished as the Top Player in Fantasy football.  In the PPR league I run he finished the Season with a little over 400 fantasy points.  He averaged a little over 25 fantasy points per game.  Of course that’s what he averaged.  There was that game against the Seattle Seahawks Legion of Boom defense where he only gained 50 yards, lost a fumble, and didn’t score a touchdown.  He finished that game with 6 points.

So obviously you need to pay close attention to what your Gut tells you right?  I’ll get back to that question in a moment.  First lets take a look at the Wide Receiver from last year.

Julio Jones – For the past few Seasons Julio Jones has continually been drafted as a top 3 Wide Receiver.  Last season was a bit of a down year for him but he still averaged a little over 16 points per game.  Of course there was that game against the Minnesota Vikings where he had top cornerback Xavier Rhodes shut him down to the tune of 2 catches for 24 yards and no touchdowns.  4.4 measly Fantasy points for the game.  So once again your Gut might have been right. So obviously you should listen to your gut right!

Actually you shouldn’t

What I left out of my analysis of both Players is when they went on to have huge Fantasy games against top defenses.  Sure on occasion your best Players that cost you early Round picks will have bad games.  The reason you picked them so early is because more often than not they have good games.  Even when they are faced off against top defenses.  It helps to understand floor and ceiling probabilities as well.  A top tier Wide Receiver is always going to get targeted with a few passes, and have a reasonable opportunity to receive a touchdown.  The third Wide Receiver on the depth chart can play an entire game and not even get one ball thrown their way.  I don’t care who is covering each receiver.  The opportunity is still greater with the top tier pick.

There are exceptions

I actually had Julio Jones on my Fantasy team for a portion of last season.  If you are wondering if there were any games that I chose to sit him.  Well the answer would be yes.  Sounds like I’m going against my own advice right.  Well before you label me as a hypocrite.  You need to know a little bit about my roster.  I was fortunate enough to have 3 excellent Wide Receivers on my roster.  In order of their value from first to last they were Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, and Jarvis Landry.  I started Antonio Brown for every game.  My league requires two Wide Receivers to start so sometimes I would sit Julio Jones to start Jarvis Landry I drafted 2 Rounds after him.  The starting lineup also has a flex position so sometimes I started all three.  The point I’m trying to make is if you have another option that’s almost as good as your primary choice in a far more favourable match up?  Then choosing to follow your Gut makes total sense.  Your second option will have a far safer floor, with only a slightly lower ceiling.

Good Luck in Week 1

Categories
FANTASY Uncategorized

The Truth about Fantasy Football Drafts – Sports Fanatics Play Fantasy SF-46

The 50/50 Rule

If you have been playing Fantasy Football for a few years you’ve probably heard of the 50/50 rule.  Basically half the Players you draft won’t be on your roster by season’s end.  This isn’t necessarily a fact but you can bet that your final roster will look different if you plan on remaining competitive.  As an example I won my Fantasy Football league last year with three key Players on my Roster I didn’t draft.  I picked up Alvin Kamara, Jerick McKinnon, and Alex Collins during the Season.  On most teams in a 12 team league that Running Back trio would have been amazing.  Did I mention that I had drafted Leonard Fournette in the first Round last year as well!  Now you should also know that this is in a PPR Keeper League and my Keepers were Antonio Brown and Julio Jones.  How could I lose?  Well I did trade Julio Jones away midseason.  It would be impossible to draft a team that strong.  I just made the right trades and waiver wire picks when the opportunity arose.

This year’s draft has already been completed. You can see the condensed online draft with all of my selections on the Cobe Life YouTube channel.

Already my roster has gone through some significant changes.  I felt pretty good about landing Jerick McKinnon with my only pick in the first two Rounds.  That was until he went down with a torn ACL during San Francisco’s last practice of the preseason!  I took a flyer on Martavis Bryant because Oakland gave up a third Round pick to acquire him.  Well I guess Oakland is in the habit of giving away third Round picks because they cut him on final cut day.  In case you haven’t already figured it out, so did I.  I also drafted Dez Bryant, planning on stashing him on my Bench for up to 4 weeks with the hopes a decent team would sign him.  Unfortunately with the injury to McKinnon and my best Running Back on the bench being Mark Ingram (In case you weren’t aware Ingram begins the season on a four game suspension) I was forced to abandon my plan and drop Dez so I could pick up McKinnon’s potential back up Matt Brieda.  With my initial draft strategy in shambles I also decided to hedge my bets at Quarterback by replacing Martavis Bryant with Alex Smith.

So before the season has even begun I’ve already changed 3 of my players from a total of 15 on the roster.  What are the odds that I end up switching four more players over the course of the season?  Pretty damn good.

Safe floor vs High ceiling

There are many Fantasy Football pundits that will talk about the importance of choosing Players with a High ceiling.  Now there are a number of Players with exceptionally high ceilings that are guaranteed to score you a fair amount of points every week.  The more of those Players on your team the merrier.  But what about the Players with High ceilings and seriously low floors?    It’s great when your Flex Player gets you 15 points, but it isn’t much of a picnic when they get you 1.3 points.  This is where Safe Floor Players come in.  In order to understand what your mix of Players should be in your league you need to understand how many points are required to win on average each week.  In my PPR Keeper League it usually takes about 125 points to have a decent chance to win each week.  Your starting roster requirements are 1 Quarterback, 2 Running Backs, 2 Wide Receivers, 1 Tight End, 1 Flex (RB, WR, TE) 1 Kicker, and 1 Defence.  Breaking it down by position the average amount of points you are looking for are QB-20pts, RB-15pts, WR-15pts, TE-10pts, K-7pts, DEF-8pts.  So a totally average week would net you 120pts. So somebody on your roster needs to exceed their weekly average to help guarantee your victory.  Of course some of your players could under perform as well.  So what is the best way to prepare for the inevitable?  The answer is having two thirds of your starting roster as Safe Floor Players.  I would rather a Running Back or Wide Receiver that gets me 10 to 12 guaranteed points every week as my number 2 or Flex than a Player that gets me over 20 points once every four weeks, and less than 10 points the others.  Just cause they have a high ceiling doesn’t mean they are Fantasy gold.  The rest of your roster should be filled with High Ceiling hopefully Safe Floor Players.  A great example of a Safe Floor Player is the Number two Slot Receiver on any team with a decent offense in a PPR league.  They might not catch many touchdowns but they generally catch around 5 passes minimum every week for over 50 yards.  A good High ceiling Player to target is the deep threat Wide Receiver or Bell cow back on a High scoring team.

Don’t Stream just Target

People preach streaming Defenses, Kickers, and even Quarterbacks.  I won’t knock their choice because I’ve done it myself.  It can work provided you find yourself in the right situation to do it.  First of all you won’t have success streaming a particular position if two or more other Managers are streaming that position as well.  You don’t want to find yourself fighting to claim Ryan Tannehill off of waivers because he happens to be playing the New York Jets.  Secondly you need to temper your expectations.  Just because somebody is playing in a favourable match up doesn’t necessarily mean they will finish with a favourable result.  Especially if they aren’t a Top tier talent.  Thirdly it’s sometimes a lot more work thsn it’s worth.  While you are trying to decide which Defense to stream that week your opponent noticed that Carlos Hyde pulled a Hamstring during practice and quickly snatched Nick Chubb as a free agent.  There’s enough to think about during a Fantasy Football season.  Why give yourself more?

Some positions don’t matter

This is one of the most idiotic beliefs in Fantasy Football.  Don’t worry about which Kicker you draft because you can always pick one up in Free Agency.  That’s total horse shit!  Wait until you lose because your kicker on that high scoring offense finds himself in a heavy snowfall in November and finishes with 1 point, while your opponent was laughing his way into the winners column with New Orleans Kicker playing at home inside the Superdome.   Just wait on a Defense because they are too unpredictable from year to year.  Another totally daft statement.  You want to talk unpredictable?  Lets talk about starting Running Backs!  I won my league last year because a number of Top Running Backs got injured.  The Dalvin Cook injury made Jerick McKinnon a marquee starter. Mark Ingram wasn’t at 100% so Alvin Kamara progressed faster than anticipated.  The Top Team in my league on paper lost their considerable advantage when David Johnson injured his wrist in the first game of the season.  You would think that might be enough to scrap the entire season for that team.  Well she still made the Playoffs and won her division.  You know how she did it?  She did it by dominating on Defense.  That’s right!  Not only did she spend a mid Round pick on the Jacksonville Jaguars.  She also picked up the Minnesota Vikings when another Manager dropped them because he was streaming Defenses.  For the rest of tbe season she switched back and forth between the two Defenses depending on which one had the better match up and averaged WR2 numbers!  When did you draft your WR2?  I doubt if it was in the 10th Round!  While everyone else in the league was getting 6 to 10 points per week from their Defense, she was getting 11 to 15.  She drafted Carlos Hyde as her third Running Back because he was undoubtedly the number 1 in San Francisco (safe floor) and he was a serviceable replacement for David Johnson.  So what did that all add up to?  Fantasy Football victories!

Don’t listen to the “Experts”, just use common sense and you’ll do fine.

Categories
FANTASY Uncategorized

Questions that need answering – Sports Fanatics Play Fantasy SF-45

Changes are afoot

There were a number of surprises in Fantasy Football last year.  Rookie Running Backs were flying off the waiver wire every week.  The Quarterbacks that went late in the draft became some of tthe Top performers.  Injuries to key Players happened early and often.  Fantasy Football was simply fantastic last Season.  So what should we expect this Season?

Plenty of Comeback Candidates

There are a few Players that missed a lot of time or even the whole Season last year that are primed to have huge Seasons this year.

Deshaun Watson – If you follow Cobe Life on YouTube, you will already know that Deshaun Watson is the highest QB on my draft board.  That’s right, I’m predicting him to be the Top QB in Fantasy Football.  He was already on his way to achieving that last year before he went down to injury.  I expect him to come back fully healthy and well rested.  Draft him with confidence.

David Johnson – David Johnson missed all but one game last Season with a wrist injury.  Before that he was considered to be the number 2 Running Back in the league by my rankings.  Wrist injuries generally heal well, and have very little effect on future performance.  David Johnson is the Arizona Cardinals offense.  I don’t expect a drop in touches.  Actually after being off the field for practically a full Season, he should be raring to go.  He’s my number 3 Running Back on my draft board.

Dalvin Cook – The Minnesota Vikings are a powerhouse team in a powerhouse division that’s in the powerhouse conference.  Dalvin Cook has already proved that he fits their powerhouse offense quite nicely.  Coming back from injury to a team that actually upgraded at Quarterback in the off-season.  Dalvin Cook is sure to find a lot of running room this year.  Snag him in your draft when the opportunity arises.

Julian Edelman – If you take a really good look at the New England Patriots roster you’ll notice something somewhat strange.  You won’t find many star players on it.    That’s what makes the return of Julian Edelman so huge.  On the offensive side of the ball there are three obvious stars.  Two of which (Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski) will be extremely difficult to draft unless you don’t mind reaching.  That leaves the returning Edelman as the only star on the Patriots that could fall below his true draft value.  I’m not even close to being a fan of the Patriots, but if Edelman falls in my draft.  I’m taking him.

Rookie Breakouts

Saquon Barkley – Saquon Barkley is for real.  I don’t take what I see in the preseason too seriously.  What I have seen from him will definitely carry over into the regular Season.  He’s elusive, has a great burst of speed through the hole, runs hard, runs fast, and has sure hands.  Barring a complete New York Giants breakdown, Saquon Barkley should finish as a Top 5 Running Back.  In most drafts he’s the 8th Running Back off the board.  Go ahead and reach.

Royce Freeman – Nobody really knows what to expect from Denver.  With Case Keenum ar Quarterback and the stacked Defense they already have, they could look a lot like last year’s Minnesota Vikings.  If that’s the case Royce Freeman could be in line for a lot of fantastic opportunities.  He has the potential to be one of those Rookie Running Backs that helps you reach the Fantasy playoffs.  There is some risk here, but if the Broncos can get a few leads in games Freeman will have an amazing season.

Calvin Ridley – First off I should mention that I generally don’t draft rookie Wide Receivers. It takes a while to learn a new offense, than get in sync with the team’s quarterback.  The calibre of cornerback they face from week to week is significantly higher.  It just takes awhile for Wide Receivers to adjust.  There is the odd exception though.  In this case it’s in the form of a pedestrian number 2 Wide Receiver, and a number 1 Wide Receiver that demands double coverage.  Calvin Ridley could serve as a decent bye week replacement or flex starter during the season.  If either Sanu or Jones gets hurt then he becomes highly valued.  I might draft him as insurance or trade bait when the time is right.

Wild Cards

There are a few key changes at the most important position that could flip this fantasy Season on it’s head.

Patrick Mahomes II – What will the Kansas City Chiefs offense look like in 2018?  I’ll tell you what it won’t be, boring.  Watching Mahomes play is like watching high school football.  He seems to hold on to the ball too long for the NFL but somehow gets away with it.  I’ve watched him ignore the easy dump off to his Running Back to attempt a deep throw downfield and let his Wide Receiver attempt to make a play.  Alex Smith he is not!  Now is that a good thing for the Fantasy Players you drafted on the Kansas City Chiefs?  I really don’t know.  I’ll tell you one thing.  I don’t expect Kansas City to win as many games as they did last year.  I wouldn’t be surprised if they didn’t make the playoffs.

Kirk Cousins – I expect Cousins to eclipse 4000 yards passing and throw for at least 30 touchdowns.  In other words he will be a Top 5 Quarterback this year.  His receiving corps is significantly better than who he had in Washington.  He got a huge contract and will be expected to earn it.  Look at the season Case Keenum had behind that offensive line.  Just imagine what Cousins will do.  As a result of his signing I’ll draft Vikings offensive players every chance I get.

The Countdown is on.

The first week of the season is drawing near.  I hope you’ve done your research because it’s sure to be another wild and crazy Fantasy Football year.

Categories
GOLF Uncategorized

3 keys to lowering your score – Beginner’s Guide to Golf

Keep it Simple

I’ve come across many Guides for Beginner Golfers.  The majority will include ways to begin lowering your score.  They will go into detail about how to develop a one way miss, play to your skills, and spend a lot of time working on your putting.  I agree with all of these but they don’t address the real requirements necessary to lowering your score.  There are three keys to lowering your score that will work for every Beginner Golfer.

Hazard Avoidance

This seems quite obvious right!  Well think about how many times  on the course that you have found yourself in hazards.  How many times have you failed to clear a pond, found yourself in a sand trap, or had to hit a difficult pitch out of the woods?  Some of you are going to blame these situations on poor strikes.  That’s a poor excuse.  I recently played a course with a friend of mine.  On the way there he mentioned how difficult the sand traps were at this course.  I told him that ssnd traps wouldn’t be a problem for me.  He had a puzzled look on his face, and asked why?  I told him that I rarely land in sand traps.  Most Rounds I don’t land in a single one.  He asked how is that possible?  My answer was straight and to the point, I avoid them.  My game out of the sand is weak.  I know that if I land in a bunker it’s going to cost me a stroke.  It could take me two strokes to get out of the bunker, or even if I get out with my first swing, it’s going to take another stroke to get back into position.  The smart play for me is to hit away from the bunker, or short of it.  In order to do this effectively you need to know your average distance with each club, and even more importantly the maximum distance with each club.  This is a statistic that you should be aware of that none of the “experts” talk about.  As an “expert” they never need to worry about hitting their clubs exceptionally long.  For example my average distance with my 7 Iron is 138 yards.  I have on occasion caught it a little thin and hit it close to 150 yards.  Both of these numbers come into play during a Round.  If I’m attacking a Green that’s 134 yards away with a Bunker on the left.  I will choose 7 Iron and aim for the right side of the Green.  In case you were wondering where the Pin is placed. Well it doesn’t matter.  I would prefer to attempt a long putt than having to potentially hit out of a bunker.  Now lets add one additional feature to that same situation.  Along with the left side bunker there’s also thick woods and fescue at the back.  The distance to the back of the green is 146 yards.  Now the maximum distance also comes into play.  If I catch my 7 Iron too thin I could skip out the back and into the woods where losing the ball is definitely a possibility.  In this case I would club down to my 8 Iron.  On average I hit my 8 Iron around 125 yards.  I have hit it as long as 135 yards at times though.  This would give me a slim chance to get my shot as far as the pin, and a decent chance to find the front fringe.  It totally takes both hazards out of play though.  Once again I would prefer a long putt, or short chip than end up in a hazard.  I probably save 5 strokes a Round by playing this way.

Just because it’s a Par 4 doesn’t mean you have to play it like one!

Something I realized after a full Season of playing courses, is that some Par 4s are specifically designed to challenge low handicappers.  As a Beginner these holes can totally obliterate what could have been a great Round of Golf.  The reason for this is how we are mentally conditioned to play a long Par 4.  Hit it as long as possible off the Tee, and then use whichever club is necessary to reach the Green.  Recently I played a 448 yard Par 4 dogleg right.  I chose Driver off the Tee.  Recently I’ve been hitting my Driver with great consistency.  You should choose whichever club you can hit long and find the Fairway consistently, after taking Hazard Avoidance into consideration first.  I was left with 210 yards to the Pin.  Now I could potentially get there with my 3 Wood.  In my first couple of Seasons playing golf, that’s exactly what I would have tried.  Now what I chose to do instead was treat this long Par 4 like a Par 5.  I chose 5 Hybrid which totally took any of the Hazards around the Green out of play.  It left me only 50 yards to the Pin which is a very easy distance for me.  Choosing to play long Par 4s this way makes Birdie almost impossible, Par difficult, and Bogey very easy.  This may sound counterproductive to lowering your scores but in actuality it isn’t.  My Par 5 average score has gone from almost 8 to 6 strokes.  If the course I’m playing has 4 Par 5s that’s 8 strokes saved on average!  The reason for the dramatic change in scoring is because the longer you hit a club, the greater the possibility for error if you hit it poorly.  A sliced 3 Wood could put me in brutal trouble.  A sliced 5 Hybrid isn’t anywhere close to as bad.  Even if I hit the 3 Wood well in the aforementioned situation.  I could end up in a greenside bunker, or roll through the back into fescue.  A well struck 5 Hybrid can only end up in the Fairway.  So I can’t get a birdie. Well so what!  As a Beginner Golfer I only aversge 1 birdie per Round anyways.

Play to the Front of Par 3s

I’m guessing that nobody has ever suggested this before.  Whenever you are in doubt of how to play a Par 3, just aim for the front of the Green.  The only time that I would suggest against this is if you have to clear a hazard.  In that case I would suggest aiming for the back.  Aiming for the front is all about being logical.  Many Beginners know their average total distance, but aren’t aware of their carry distances.  Balls that land on the Green will usually roll out further than usual because of the firmness of the surface.  But what about Spin, you ask?  You are a Beginner (news flash) you don’t really have any.  As a result your total average distance is actually increased.  Another reason to aim for the front is that you aren’t punished for hitting it thin. You might actually end up on the Green, or roll through the back.  At least you won’t be so far out the back that getting back onto the Green will be easy.  Last but not least, you generally take hazards on the left, right, or back mostly out of play.

If you take these three tips into consideration the next time you play.  I promise you that your final score will be lower than if you didn’t.  Good luck, and keep working to improve your game.  I’ll see you on the course.