Tag: NFL keeper league

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FANTASY

HONEST FANTASY FOOTBALL ADVICE

I PRACTICE WHAT I PREACH !!!

If you follow me on my various Social Media channels?

YouTube – Cobe Life

Instagram – Cobesports

Twitter – Cobeness

Then you will know what my Fantasy Football philosophies are. I use a Tier based Fantasy draft value selection process. I place additional importance on Running Backs over every other position. I prefer to draft a Quarterback in the middle Rounds, and then draft a QB with upside late. I usually wait as long as possible to draft a tier two Tight End. I stock up on Players in high powered Offenses. I will draft a Defense in a weak Division over a highly ranked Defense that’s in a tough Division.

MY EXPERT LEAGUE TEAM

The Gridiron Pros League has been running for over a decade. It is a 12 Team PPR Experts League that allows you to Keep two Players to carry over into the next Season. There is no cost to your Keeper selections so it makes sense to keep whichever two Players you believe are the most valuable. All touchdowns earn the Player 6 points whether it’s a Run, Catch, or Pass.

Quarterbacks get 1pt/30yrds, -1pt/sack, -2pt/interception. There is a 5pt bonus for throwing for over 400yrds.

Rushing is scored at 1pt/10yrds. There is a 5pt bonus for rushing for over 100yrds, and an additional 5pts if they break 200yrds.

Receiving is scored at 1pt/10yrds. There is a 5pt bonus for receiving for over 100yrds, and an additional 2pts if they break 200yrds.

With that in mind here is my current roster to begin Week 5.

QB Carson Wentz – acquired via trade for Aaron Jones I drafted in the 3rd Round (gained 2020 3rd)

QB Josh Allen – Drafted

QB Baker Mayfield – Free Agent

RB Alvin Kamara – Keeper

RB Mark Ingram – Keeper

RB Chris Carson – Drafted

RB Ronald Jones – Waivers

WR Robert Woods – Drafted

WR Alshon Jeffrey – Drafted

WR Courtland Sutton – Drafted

WR DeSean Jackson – Drafted

WR A.J. Green – Drafted

TE Evan Engram – Drafted

TE Chris Herndon – Free Agent

DST L.A. Chargers – Drafted

K Eddy Pineiro – Free Agent

THINGS OF NOTE

I told my Followers to Trade Jarvis Landry, Frank Gore, or Aaron Jones at the beginning of this week. What did I do in my single most important league? I TRADED AARON JONES! Proving once again that I practice what I preach.

Usually I wait on a Tight End, and draft one of the last Tier 2 Players available. In this particular draft I ranked Evan Engram as a tier 1 Tight End. The other 3 Tier 1 Tight Ends went off the board fast. Allowing me to Draft Engram at a considerable value so I did.

The only reason I currently have three Quarterbacks is because Baker was a Free Agent. He showed some promise in his last game. I can see what he does this Week and decide what to do with him. I had space on my bench so why not.

My Wide Receivers are thin due to injury. If DeSean Jackson, or A.J. Green aren’t back soon? I will be forced to see what’s available on waivers, or make a trade. I specifically picked up Chris Herndon in Free Agency as potential Trade bait later.

THERE ARE A NUMBER OF NOTABLE ABSENCES ON MY ROSTER. THINGS THAT OTHER ANALYSTS WILL TELL YOU THAT YOU CAN’T GO WITHOUT.

David Montgomery was being aggressively hyped by quite a few Fantasy Football analysts. I could have drafted him but I didn’t. The reason was simple. The hype made his price too high. You know who I got instead? Chris Carson in the fourth Round. David Montgomery’s ADP in 2019 was in the middle of the 3rd Round. Tell me which Running Back you would rather have goung into Week 5?

I don’t have a Top Tier Wide Receiver! The variance in Fantasy points from week to week with Wide Receivers is far greater than Running Backs. It’s not because they have a greater breakout potential either. Running Backs and Wide Receivers have about the same odds to breakout. The variance comes from the significantly lower floor Wide Receivers have the potential of hitting. Starting Running Backs always get touches. Touches are what create opportunities. Wide Receivers will have games with little to no touches. No touches means no opportunities. So I don’t see the need to draft high value Wide Receivers. Instead I load up on Wide Receivers in high powered Offenses. In this case the Philadelphia Eagles, and Los Angeles Rams. I also added number 1 Receivers on bad teams that I could draft really cheap. Those would be Courtland Sutton, and A.J. Green. Teams playing from behind have to throw the ball, and in those cases their number 1 Wide Receiver usually gets touches.

If you want honest Fantasy Football advice designed to help you actually win then…

FOLLOW ME !!!

Categories
FANTASY

Why I love Keeper Leagues – Sports Fanatics play Fantasy SF-49

Player Appreciation

I’ve been playing Fantasy Football from the very beginning of it’s development.  I always enjoyed it, but it wasn’t until the advent of Keeper Leagues that it became a true love of mine.  Being a part of a league that allows you to retain a couple players from season to season provides you with a small taste of what it feels like to be a general manager in the NFL.  How long do you continue to keep that Star Player that’s done so well for you year after year?  When is it time to let go, and grab a young hungry player with talent looking to make a name for themselves?  What if your Star Player gets hurt and misses the second half of the season?  Do you trust that he will come back healthy, or do you trade him while there’s still some Managers willing to gamble?  These are all questions that you will have to answer at some point if you are in a Keeper League.

Draft Pick Value

Another key aspect to Keeper Leagues that make them far more appealing to me is the ability to trade Draft Picks.  Each year leading up to the Fantasy Football Season you can find loads of information on the perceived Draft Value of each Player.  What you won’t find is how much each of your future Draft Picks could be worth during the Regular Season.  This makes understanding how many Star Players are about to enter the NFL at each Fantasy relevant position next Season.  It’s also important to know how many top level Fantasy Football Players there are in the League.  To make it easier to understand why I’ll provide you with an example.

Lets assume that there will be one Star rookie Running Back, and one Star rookie Wide Receiver entering the league.  Currently there are 30 Top level Fantasy Football Players in the NFL already.  There are also 2 Star Players returning from injury.  Now assume that you are in a 12 team league that allows you to keep 2 Players.  That would mean that 24 of the Top 32 projected Stars are already spoken for.  Depending on how much you trust Players returning from injury.  It would only leave a possible 10 Star Players remaining.  Once those Players have been selected the remaining Players available are Second level Players, and you estimate that there are at least 30 of them.  This means that your 2nd Round Pick has a similar value to your 3rd, and maybe even your 4th Round Pick.  It also means that the last two Picks in the first Round actually only have a 2nd or 3rd Round value to them.   

Now what does this mean to a Manager in a Keeper League?  Well if you have already secured a Playoff spot in this League, but 1 or 2 more wins will guarantee you a First Round Bye.  It might be worth it to trade your 1rst Round Pick and a Player off your bench for a 3rd Round Pick and a Star Player.  Provided you make the Final in this League your 1rst Round Pick will be one of the last two.  In other words the 11th or 12th.  This means that it’s actual value isn’t much better than a 3rd Round Pick anyways.  If you don’t trust Players returning from injury than you could get knocked out in the Semifinals, and still feel good about your trade.  It also provides you with one more option of who to keep for next Season.

Division Rivalry

It’s possible to develop rivalries in Redraft Leagues.  It’s just not the same as having Divisional  Rivalries in Keeper Leagues though.  In a Redraft League it wouldn’t bother me to make a fair trade with a Manager that defeated me last Season.  In my Keeper Leagues though I’m wary of trading a potentially dangerous Player to a Manager in my division.  I’ve actually accepted worse offers from Managers playing against my Rivals in order to hopefully provide them with a win over my divisional opponent.  If a Star Player on a Rival’s team gets injured.  I check the waiver wire to see how many decent replacement Players are available.  If there’s only 1 or 2 I’ll try to snatch them up.  That way my Rival is forced to either make a trade from a position of weakness, or accept having a very weak spot on their team.  No way I go to that extent in Redraft Leagues.

Bragging Rights

There’s nothing worse than joining a Redraft League when there are only 4 ridiculously obvious Fantasy Football studs and you unfortunately get the 5th Pick.  Ultimately when one of the Managers who were lucky enough to get a pick in the first four wins.  They can’t resist bragging about how much of a Fantasy genius they are.  Well in Keeper Leagues winning requires a lot more than luck.  Your draft position is determined by the Season before.  You had better have made the necessary moves to ensure your next Season isn’t a losing one.  That could mean trading for a fantastic young Player to fill a Keeper position for years.  It could mean trading out of the first or second Round to get more middle Round Picks in order to build a team with a lot of depth.  If you really want to be successful in a Keeper League, moves must be made.  If that’s not your thing?  By all means join a Redraft League.